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Peek Under The Hood: QQQJ Has 11% Upside

By Dividend Channel Staff, Wednesday, March 6, 7:10 AM ET

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF (NASDAQ:QQQJ), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $31.57 per unit.

With QQQJ trading at a recent price near $28.33 per unit, that means that analysts see 11.45% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of QQQJ's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Incyte Corporation (NASDAQ:INCY), NetEase, Inc (NASDAQ:NTES), and Trip.com Group Ltd (NASDAQ:TCOM). Although INCY has traded at a recent price of $58.90/share, the average analyst target is 28.63% higher at $75.76/share. Similarly, NTES has 27.34% upside from the recent share price of $105.94 if the average analyst target price of $134.90/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting TCOM to reach a target price of $52.44/share, which is 24.02% above the recent price of $42.28. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of INCY, NTES, and TCOM:

INCY, NTES, and TCOM Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF QQQJ $28.33 $31.57 11.45%
Incyte Corporation INCY $58.90 $75.76 28.63%
NetEase, Inc NTES $105.94 $134.90 27.34%
Trip.com Group Ltd TCOM $42.28 $52.44 24.02%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
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This Article's Word Cloud:   Analyst   Below   Corporation   ETFs   FREEGet   Group   INCY   Incyte   Invesco   NTES   NetEase   Next   QQQJ   TCOM   Target   Trip   Upside   With   Zacks   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   have   hctblstyle   holdings   implied   latest   mdash   month   price   recent   report   research   share   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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